Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日廣州最高溫度？
7月10日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 33%
36°C 29%
34°C 24%
33°C 11.4%
最新
$54,799 交易量
最新
$54,799 交易量
2026-07-10
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
24%
35°C
33%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C或以上
1%
35°C 33%
36°C 29%
34°C 24%
33°C 11.4%
最新
$54,799 交易量
最新
$54,799 交易量
2026-07-10
29°C或以下
$1,876 交易量
<1%
30°C
$722 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,069 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,087 交易量
1%
33°C
$3,355 交易量
11%
34°C
$4,335 交易量
24%
35°C
$3,182 交易量
33%
36°C
$6,045 交易量
29%
37°C
$7,171 交易量
6%
38°C
$12,328 交易量
2%
39°C或以上
$6,992 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$54,799結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,799結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders are pricing 35°C and 36°C as the most likely highs for Guangzhou on July 10 because short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration currently converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high is supporting warm, humid air advection from the South China Sea, while moderate southwesterly flow and afternoon convective development introduce uncertainty: scattered thunderstorms can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially capping the daily maximum at 35°C, whereas stronger subsidence or delayed convection could allow readings to reach 36°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs average near 32–33°C but frequently reach 35–36°C under comparable synoptic setups. Updated CMA and global model runs expected on July 9 will likely refine the precise threshold by clarifying precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions