Latest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月9日多倫多氣溫最高？
7月9日多倫多氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,648 交易量
$100,648 交易量
2026-07-09
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,648 交易量
$100,648 交易量
2026-07-09
26°C or below
$16,850 交易量
<1%
27°C
$14,310 交易量
<1%
28°C
$22,423 交易量
<1%
29°C
$13,858 交易量
100%
30°C
$10,143 交易量
<1%
31°C
$8,717 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,319 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,893 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,711 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,714 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,711 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$100,648結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100,648結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions