Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日首爾最低溫度？
7月11日首爾最低溫度？
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
19°C或以下
$127 交易量
1%
20°C
$187 交易量
1%
21°C
$156 交易量
3%
22°C
$97 交易量
11%
23°C
$77 交易量
32%
24°C
$1,682 交易量
45%
25°C
$733 交易量
7%
26°C
$233 交易量
3%
27°C
$367 交易量
1%
28°C
$574 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$1,439 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,672結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,672結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSeoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions