Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日成都最高溫度？
7月11日成都最高溫度？
34°C 28%
33°C 20%
35°C 19%
36°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
20%
34°C
28%
35°C
19%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 28%
33°C 20%
35°C 19%
36°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
28°C or below
$160 交易量
<1%
29°C
$422 交易量
<1%
30°C
$918 交易量
<1%
31°C
$855 交易量
5%
32°C
$623 交易量
8%
33°C
$366 交易量
20%
34°C
$1,425 交易量
28%
35°C
$945 交易量
19%
36°C
$453 交易量
13%
37°C
$411 交易量
4%
38°C or higher
$1,243 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,821結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,821結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 32–34°C for Chengdu’s July 11 high reflects tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models amid the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where afternoon convection and variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 2–4°C. Recent thundershower activity through July 9–10 has introduced moisture that may moderate insolation on the 11th, while Sichuan basin humidity and urban heat retention support readings near the seasonal 31–33°C July average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international runs show limited model agreement on exact timing of any clearing, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched and underscoring forecast sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions