Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月9日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月9日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$149,038 交易量
$149,038 交易量
2026-07-09
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$149,038 交易量
$149,038 交易量
2026-07-09
75°F or below
$3,179 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,370 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$6,089 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$10,009 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$24,771 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$30,003 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$20,139 交易量
100%
88-89°F
$24,762 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$11,003 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$6,749 交易量
<1%
華氏94度或更高
$9,962 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$149,038結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$149,038結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTrader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions