Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日上海最低溫度？
7月11日上海最低溫度？
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
28%
27°C
44%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 28%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
22°C或以下
$2,635 交易量
<1%
23°C
$893 交易量
1%
24°C
$155 交易量
4%
25°C
$50 交易量
11%
26°C
$217 交易量
28%
27°C
$1,357 交易量
44%
28°C
$595 交易量
10%
29°C
$58 交易量
4%
30°C
$207 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,021 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$1,718 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8,906結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,906結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions