Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日倫敦的最低溫度？
7月11日倫敦的最低溫度？
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
51%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
13°C或以下
$195 交易量
<1%
14°C
$235 交易量
1%
15°C
$474 交易量
1%
16°C
$207 交易量
3%
17°C
$228 交易量
5%
18°C
$1,066 交易量
35%
19°C
$394 交易量
51%
20°C
$206 交易量
10%
21°C
$251 交易量
2%
22°C
$135 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$605 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,995結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,995結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions