Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (29.5%) to a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 11, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty around the city’s typical July maximum of 31–32°C. The southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and strong solar insolation set a warm baseline, while afternoon convective showers—driven by boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps the peak. Urban heat-island effects in the Klang Valley add slight upward bias, but model spread in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow distribution across adjacent outcomes. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
30°C 6%
$17,776 交易量
$17,776 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
40%
33°C
33%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 18%
30°C 6%
$17,776 交易量
$17,776 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
40%
33°C
33%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (29.5%) to a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 11, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty around the city’s typical July maximum of 31–32°C. The southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and strong solar insolation set a warm baseline, while afternoon convective showers—driven by boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps the peak. Urban heat-island effects in the Klang Valley add slight upward bias, but model spread in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow distribution across adjacent outcomes. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions