In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
7月11日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 12.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
29%
32°C
37%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 29%
30°C 14%
33°C 12.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
25°C或以下
$26 交易量
<1%
26°C
$22 交易量
<1%
27°C
$18 交易量
1%
28°C
$82 交易量
2%
29°C
$266 交易量
5%
30°C
$495 交易量
14%
31°C
$134 交易量
29%
32°C
$273 交易量
37%
33°C
$186 交易量
13%
34°C
$112 交易量
5%
35°C或以上
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,518結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,518結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETIn Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions