Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日青島氣溫最高？
7月10日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
32°C 12%
最新
$29,428 交易量
最新
$29,428 交易量
2026-07-10
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
25%
30°C
28%
31°C
23%
32°C
12%
33°C或以上
1%
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 23%
32°C 12%
最新
$29,428 交易量
最新
$29,428 交易量
2026-07-10
23°C或以下
$1,785 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,651 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,688 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,325 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,714 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,992 交易量
9%
29°C
$3,836 交易量
25%
30°C
$2,202 交易量
28%
31°C
$2,004 交易量
23%
32°C
$1,902 交易量
12%
33°C或以上
$1,353 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$29,428結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,428結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao's July 10 peak temperature likely clustering near 29–31°C due to typical summer monsoon moisture, moderate southerly flow, and coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits extreme heating. Ensemble guidance reflects modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 30°C the market favorite at 32.5% implied probability while nearby outcomes trade closely. Historical July averages near 27–29°C provide context, yet current runs favor a slight positive anomaly driven by regional warmth. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions