Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日武漢氣溫最高?
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
$25,648 交易量
$25,648 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
$25,648 交易量
$25,648 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions