Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles show the highest temperature in Milan on July 10 most likely falling between 32–33°C, with slight market preference for the upper end reflecting modest warming signals in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley, yet variable low-level winds and possible nocturnal cooling from the Alps introduce spread in maximum readings at the Malpensa station. Historical July maxima average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme episode; model differences center on the precise strength of the ridge and any weak frontal passage. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour model cycles and regional nowcasts for refinements ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 40%
33°C 36%
35°C 9.5%
32°C 9%
$35,116 交易量
$35,116 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
36%
34°C
40%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 36%
35°C 9.5%
32°C 9%
$35,116 交易量
$35,116 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
36%
34°C
40%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles show the highest temperature in Milan on July 10 most likely falling between 32–33°C, with slight market preference for the upper end reflecting modest warming signals in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. A broad high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence and clear skies across the Po Valley, yet variable low-level winds and possible nocturnal cooling from the Alps introduce spread in maximum readings at the Malpensa station. Historical July maxima average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent an above-normal but not extreme episode; model differences center on the precise strength of the ridge and any weak frontal passage. Traders are closely watching the next 48-hour model cycles and regional nowcasts for refinements ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions