Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月15日莫斯科最高溫度？
7月15日莫斯科最高溫度？
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C或以上
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
19°C或以下
$1,642 交易量
<1%
20°C
$620 交易量
<1%
21°C
$346 交易量
2%
22°C
$423 交易量
2%
23°C
$322 交易量
15%
24°C
$330 交易量
30%
25°C
$428 交易量
39%
26°C
$422 交易量
15%
27°C
$507 交易量
4%
28°C
$522 交易量
2%
29°C或以上
$761 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,322結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,322結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions