Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 3?
68-69°F 99.8%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,135 交易量
$54,135 交易量
2026-07-03
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.8%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,135 交易量
$54,135 交易量
2026-07-03
59°F or below
$1,912 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$4,478 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,318 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,880 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$5,205 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$10,815 交易量
100%
70-71°F
$4,192 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$6,096 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$3,895 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$6,533 交易量
<1%
78°F or higher
$6,812 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$54,135結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,135結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTraders are closely split between 68-71°F for San Francisco’s July 3 high because NOAA and National Weather Service short-range models show a persistent marine layer with moderate onshore flow keeping coastal readings near seasonal normals. Subtle differences in the strength of the Pacific high and the depth of the cool air mass will determine whether daytime warming reaches the low 70s or stalls in the upper 60s; stronger westerly winds and earlier fog clearance favor the higher bin, while a deeper stratus deck favors the lower. Historical July maxima average 68-72°F at downtown stations, and current ensemble guidance shows low spread around that range with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s 00Z model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions