Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
20°C or below
$396 交易量
1%
21°C
$20 交易量
1%
22°C
$20 交易量
1%
23°C
$56 交易量
1%
24°C
$77 交易量
3%
25°C
$34 交易量
9%
26°C
$222 交易量
26%
27°C
$38 交易量
36%
28°C
$94 交易量
18%
29°C
$34 交易量
7%
30°C or higher
$129 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions