A heat dome dominating the Northeast has driven elevated overnight temperatures across New York City, with official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather pointing to a minimum near 82°F on July 2 amid humid southwesterly flow and minimal radiational cooling. This setup keeps the daily low well above the July climatological average of 70–72°F, tightening the range of plausible outcomes around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for model spread on exact dewpoint depression and cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with higher bins (86°F+) priced for any stalled front or urban heat-island amplification and lower bins discounted absent an unexpected marine layer or stronger onshore breeze. Updated NWS model runs and evening soundings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in NYC on July 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 2?
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92°F or higher
12%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-02
73°F or below
$221 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
15%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
33%
82-83°F
$5 交易量
25%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
21%
88-89°F
$44 交易量
17%
90-91°F
$44 交易量
17%
92°F or higher
$186 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heat dome dominating the Northeast has driven elevated overnight temperatures across New York City, with official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather pointing to a minimum near 82°F on July 2 amid humid southwesterly flow and minimal radiational cooling. This setup keeps the daily low well above the July climatological average of 70–72°F, tightening the range of plausible outcomes around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for model spread on exact dewpoint depression and cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with higher bins (86°F+) priced for any stalled front or urban heat-island amplification and lower bins discounted absent an unexpected marine layer or stronger onshore breeze. Updated NWS model runs and evening soundings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$504結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heat dome dominating the Northeast has driven elevated overnight temperatures across New York City, with official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather pointing to a minimum near 82°F on July 2 amid humid southwesterly flow and minimal radiational cooling. This setup keeps the daily low well above the July climatological average of 70–72°F, tightening the range of plausible outcomes around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for model spread on exact dewpoint depression and cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with higher bins (86°F+) priced for any stalled front or urban heat-island amplification and lower bins discounted absent an unexpected marine layer or stronger onshore breeze. Updated NWS model runs and evening soundings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$504結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETA heat dome dominating the Northeast has driven elevated overnight temperatures across New York City, with official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather pointing to a minimum near 82°F on July 2 amid humid southwesterly flow and minimal radiational cooling. This setup keeps the daily low well above the July climatological average of 70–72°F, tightening the range of plausible outcomes around the 80–83°F bins while leaving room for model spread on exact dewpoint depression and cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with higher bins (86°F+) priced for any stalled front or urban heat-island amplification and lower bins discounted absent an unexpected marine layer or stronger onshore breeze. Updated NWS model runs and evening soundings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions