**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 13 high temperature centers on official NWS guidance of a sunny 75°F under northerly flow that limits marine-layer cooling from Puget Sound.** This places the market’s top bins (78–79°F at 30.5%, 76–77°F at 23.5%, 80–81°F at 18.5%) in a tight cluster around the forecast, reflecting modest model spread on peak heating. Key drivers include persistent high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover after earlier July variability, combined with light northerly winds that keep cooler Pacific air offshore. Seattle’s typical midsummer marine influence often caps highs near the 78°F July average, but the current pattern favors slightly warmer readings if mixing is efficient. Ensemble guidance and recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions show limited disagreement on timing or intensity, with most runs clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s and lower odds for an 80°F+ spike or sub-74°F outcome. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 74–81°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
7月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
78-79°F 99.8%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$35,897 交易量
$35,897 交易量
2026-07-13
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.8%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$35,897 交易量
$35,897 交易量
2026-07-13
69°F or below
$300 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,381 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$3,225 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$7,108 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$4,686 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$5,633 交易量
100%
80-81°F
$4,846 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$5,845 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,832 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$660 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$380 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 13 high temperature centers on official NWS guidance of a sunny 75°F under northerly flow that limits marine-layer cooling from Puget Sound.** This places the market’s top bins (78–79°F at 30.5%, 76–77°F at 23.5%, 80–81°F at 18.5%) in a tight cluster around the forecast, reflecting modest model spread on peak heating.
Key drivers include persistent high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover after earlier July variability, combined with light northerly winds that keep cooler Pacific air offshore. Seattle’s typical midsummer marine influence often caps highs near the 78°F July average, but the current pattern favors slightly warmer readings if mixing is efficient.
Ensemble guidance and recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions show limited disagreement on timing or intensity, with most runs clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s and lower odds for an 80°F+ spike or sub-74°F outcome. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 74–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$35,897結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 13 high temperature centers on official NWS guidance of a sunny 75°F under northerly flow that limits marine-layer cooling from Puget Sound.** This places the market’s top bins (78–79°F at 30.5%, 76–77°F at 23.5%, 80–81°F at 18.5%) in a tight cluster around the forecast, reflecting modest model spread on peak heating.
Key drivers include persistent high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover after earlier July variability, combined with light northerly winds that keep cooler Pacific air offshore. Seattle’s typical midsummer marine influence often caps highs near the 78°F July average, but the current pattern favors slightly warmer readings if mixing is efficient.
Ensemble guidance and recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions show limited disagreement on timing or intensity, with most runs clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s and lower odds for an 80°F+ spike or sub-74°F outcome. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 74–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,897結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 13 high temperature centers on official NWS guidance of a sunny 75°F under northerly flow that limits marine-layer cooling from Puget Sound.** This places the market’s top bins (78–79°F at 30.5%, 76–77°F at 23.5%, 80–81°F at 18.5%) in a tight cluster around the forecast, reflecting modest model spread on peak heating. Key drivers include persistent high pressure promoting clear skies and reduced cloud cover after earlier July variability, combined with light northerly winds that keep cooler Pacific air offshore. Seattle’s typical midsummer marine influence often caps highs near the 78°F July average, but the current pattern favors slightly warmer readings if mixing is efficient. Ensemble guidance and recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions show limited disagreement on timing or intensity, with most runs clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s and lower odds for an 80°F+ spike or sub-74°F outcome. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 74–81°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions