Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on July 3?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 3?
72-73°F 99.6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$51,413 交易量
$51,413 交易量
2026-07-03
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 99.6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$51,413 交易量
$51,413 交易量
2026-07-03
63°F or below
$8,477 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,758 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$4,730 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$5,371 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$6,602 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$7,935 交易量
100%
74-75°F
$4,659 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,063 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$3,756 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$5,219 交易量
<1%
82°F or higher
$843 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$51,413結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,413結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Seattle on July 3 centered in the low-to-mid 70s, with the closely bunched market odds (72–73 °F at 22 %, 74–75 °F at 19 %, 70–71 °F at 17.5 %) reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and marine-layer strength. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer typical of early July are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs near the seasonal average of 74–76 °F while suppressing the stronger warming seen earlier in the summer. Ensemble spreads remain modest because steering patterns are stable, but small differences in timing of any onshore push or breaks in stratus could shift the peak by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS Seattle area forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of the daily high observation at Sea-Tac or Boeing Field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions