President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於15秒以上 56%
10–15秒 21%
6–10秒 16%
2–6秒 7.1%
$271,785 交易量
$271,785 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
3%
少於2秒
1%
2–6秒
7%
6–10秒
16%
10–15秒
21%
15秒以上
56%
只合照
2%
15秒以上 56%
10–15秒 21%
6–10秒 16%
2–6秒 7.1%
$271,785 交易量
$271,785 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$54,823 交易量
3%
少於2秒
$41,728 交易量
1%
2–6秒
$42,542 交易量
7%
6–10秒
$20,644 交易量
16%
10–15秒
$20,795 交易量
21%
15秒以上
$49,888 交易量
56%
只合照
$42,092 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市場開放時間： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$271,785結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$271,785結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping has solidified trader consensus on a prolonged handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 55.5%, mirroring their historical precedents such as the nearly 27-second grip during past bilateral meetings that symbolized rapport amid trade and diplomatic negotiations. Secondary outcomes like 10-15 seconds and 6-10 seconds at 20.5% and 17% reflect expectations of formal state visit protocol, while no handshake remains unlikely at 4% absent any recent escalations or boycotts, despite earlier trip delays tied to Iran tensions. Smooth preparations and the high-stakes agenda on US-China relations position lengthy greetings as the baseline for this closely watched diplomatic encounter.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions