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icon for 特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？
政治·特朗普

特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？

icon for 特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？
政治·特朗普

特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？

20-25分鐘 50%

30分鐘以上 45%

少於5分鐘 44%

5-10分鐘 44%

Polymarket
最新

20-25分鐘 50%

30分鐘以上 45%

少於5分鐘 44%

5-10分鐘 44%

Polymarket
最新

少於5分鐘

$0 交易量

44%

5-10分鐘

$0 交易量

44%

10-15分鐘

$0 交易量

44%

15-20分鐘

$0 交易量

44%

20-25分鐘

$0 交易量

50%

25-30分鐘

$0 交易量

44%

30分鐘以上

$0 交易量

45%

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.**Recent escalation in tensions with Iran has prompted President Trump’s scheduled primetime address to the nation on Thursday evening, July 16, creating uncertainty over its duration among traders.** The announcement on Truth Social, timed amid diplomatic and military developments, leaves open whether the remarks will focus on a narrow update or broader policy context, keeping probabilities for 20-25 minutes (49%) and shorter bins (43.5%) closely matched. Historical patterns for such crisis-driven national addresses show wide variation, from concise statements to more extended explanations, while past Trump primetime speeches demonstrate flexibility in length depending on the moment’s demands. Factors such as confirmation of the exact format, any pre-speech briefings, or shifts in the underlying geopolitical situation could widen the gap by clarifying whether brevity or substance is prioritized. Resolution hinges on the live delivery length once the address begins.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 8:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Speech to the Nation. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Speech to the Nation until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Speech to the Nation is cancelled or delayed beyond July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-25分鐘" at 50%, followed by "30分鐘以上" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？" is "20-25分鐘" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30分鐘以上" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普對全國的演講將持續多久？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.