Recent seismic activity has produced at least 15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 17–23, 2026, according to USGS and monitoring reports. This count stems primarily from aftershock sequences in the Flores Sea and nearby Indonesian regions following a M7.7 mainshock on August 15, combined with independent events along Pacific subduction zones, including M6.0+ quakes near Japan and in the Scotia Sea. Such clustering aligns with typical global rates of 10–20 M5.5+ events per week in active tectonic belts, pushing trader consensus toward the >13 outcome at 82.3% implied probability. Upcoming catalog finalization by USGS may confirm exact totals but is unlikely to alter the market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
>13 99.9%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$60,147 交易量
$60,147 交易量
2026-08-23
≤6
否
7
否
8
否
9
否
10
否
11
否
12
否
13
否
>13
是
>13 99.9%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$60,147 交易量
$60,147 交易量
2026-08-23
≤6
$7,036 交易量
否
7
$1,462 交易量
否
8
$2,682 交易量
否
9
$3,756 交易量
否
10
$7,289 交易量
否
11
$2,673 交易量
否
12
$5,368 交易量
否
13
$8,385 交易量
否
>13
$21,496 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity has produced at least 15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 17–23, 2026, according to USGS and monitoring reports. This count stems primarily from aftershock sequences in the Flores Sea and nearby Indonesian regions following a M7.7 mainshock on August 15, combined with independent events along Pacific subduction zones, including M6.0+ quakes near Japan and in the Scotia Sea. Such clustering aligns with typical global rates of 10–20 M5.5+ events per week in active tectonic belts, pushing trader consensus toward the >13 outcome at 82.3% implied probability. Upcoming catalog finalization by USGS may confirm exact totals but is unlikely to alter the market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
交易量
$60,147結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity has produced at least 15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 17–23, 2026, according to USGS and monitoring reports. This count stems primarily from aftershock sequences in the Flores Sea and nearby Indonesian regions following a M7.7 mainshock on August 15, combined with independent events along Pacific subduction zones, including M6.0+ quakes near Japan and in the Scotia Sea. Such clustering aligns with typical global rates of 10–20 M5.5+ events per week in active tectonic belts, pushing trader consensus toward the >13 outcome at 82.3% implied probability. Upcoming catalog finalization by USGS may confirm exact totals but is unlikely to alter the market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$60,147結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent seismic activity has produced at least 15 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide between August 17–23, 2026, according to USGS and monitoring reports. This count stems primarily from aftershock sequences in the Flores Sea and nearby Indonesian regions following a M7.7 mainshock on August 15, combined with independent events along Pacific subduction zones, including M6.0+ quakes near Japan and in the Scotia Sea. Such clustering aligns with typical global rates of 10–20 M5.5+ events per week in active tectonic belts, pushing trader consensus toward the >13 outcome at 82.3% implied probability. Upcoming catalog finalization by USGS may confirm exact totals but is unlikely to alter the market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions