Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in London on June 29?
15°C 32%
14°C 24%
13°C 21%
16°C 16.2%
$17,614 交易量
$17,614 交易量
12°C or below
3%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
16%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 32%
14°C 24%
13°C 21%
16°C 16.2%
$17,614 交易量
$17,614 交易量
12°C or below
3%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
16%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions