**Strong post-opening legs and a decelerating but still robust weekly pace are the main drivers behind the near-even split between sub-$900 million and $900–920 million outcomes by August 31.** Released July 31 with a record $360 million domestic debut, the film reached roughly $786 million domestically by August 17 after a $145 million second weekend and an estimated $70 million third frame. This places it on track to add another $110–140 million over the next two weeks, depending on holdover strength and minimal late-summer competition. Traders appear focused on whether typical 40–50% weekend drops will keep the cumulative total below or push it just over the $900 million threshold by month-end, consistent with recent box-office tracking models projecting a final domestic total in the low-to-mid $900 millions. Historical Marvel legs and the absence of major new releases support modest upside, while the already-steep drop from opening weekend caps expectations for a larger surge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
<900m 53%
900 - 920m 46%
920 - 940m 3.6%
940 - 960m 1.7%
$196,610 交易量
$196,610 交易量
2026-08-31
<900m
53%
900 - 920m
46%
920 - 940m
4%
940 - 960m
2%
960 - 980m
<1%
980 - 1000m
<1%
1000 - 1020m
<1%
1020 - 1040m
<1%
1040 - 1060m
<1%
1060 - 1080m
<1%
1080m+
1%
<900m 53%
900 - 920m 46%
920 - 940m 3.6%
940 - 960m 1.7%
$196,610 交易量
$196,610 交易量
2026-08-31
<900m
$28,040 交易量
53%
900 - 920m
$21,108 交易量
46%
920 - 940m
$10,644 交易量
4%
940 - 960m
$12,929 交易量
2%
960 - 980m
$8,123 交易量
<1%
980 - 1000m
$4,339 交易量
<1%
1000 - 1020m
$1,789 交易量
<1%
1020 - 1040m
$764 交易量
<1%
1040 - 1060m
$837 交易量
<1%
1060 - 1080m
$873 交易量
<1%
1080m+
$107,163 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong post-opening legs and a decelerating but still robust weekly pace are the main drivers behind the near-even split between sub-$900 million and $900–920 million outcomes by August 31.** Released July 31 with a record $360 million domestic debut, the film reached roughly $786 million domestically by August 17 after a $145 million second weekend and an estimated $70 million third frame. This places it on track to add another $110–140 million over the next two weeks, depending on holdover strength and minimal late-summer competition. Traders appear focused on whether typical 40–50% weekend drops will keep the cumulative total below or push it just over the $900 million threshold by month-end, consistent with recent box-office tracking models projecting a final domestic total in the low-to-mid $900 millions. Historical Marvel legs and the absence of major new releases support modest upside, while the already-steep drop from opening weekend caps expectations for a larger surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$196,610結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong post-opening legs and a decelerating but still robust weekly pace are the main drivers behind the near-even split between sub-$900 million and $900–920 million outcomes by August 31.** Released July 31 with a record $360 million domestic debut, the film reached roughly $786 million domestically by August 17 after a $145 million second weekend and an estimated $70 million third frame. This places it on track to add another $110–140 million over the next two weeks, depending on holdover strength and minimal late-summer competition. Traders appear focused on whether typical 40–50% weekend drops will keep the cumulative total below or push it just over the $900 million threshold by month-end, consistent with recent box-office tracking models projecting a final domestic total in the low-to-mid $900 millions. Historical Marvel legs and the absence of major new releases support modest upside, while the already-steep drop from opening weekend caps expectations for a larger surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$196,610結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong post-opening legs and a decelerating but still robust weekly pace are the main drivers behind the near-even split between sub-$900 million and $900–920 million outcomes by August 31.** Released July 31 with a record $360 million domestic debut, the film reached roughly $786 million domestically by August 17 after a $145 million second weekend and an estimated $70 million third frame. This places it on track to add another $110–140 million over the next two weeks, depending on holdover strength and minimal late-summer competition. Traders appear focused on whether typical 40–50% weekend drops will keep the cumulative total below or push it just over the $900 million threshold by month-end, consistent with recent box-office tracking models projecting a final domestic total in the low-to-mid $900 millions. Historical Marvel legs and the absence of major new releases support modest upside, while the already-steep drop from opening weekend caps expectations for a larger surge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions