Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has stalled since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland's pledge, with no verified normalization agreements advancing toward signature by late August 2026. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition any steps on progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria has signaled reluctance amid ongoing border tensions and military operations. U.S. administration calls linking further accessions to an Iran framework have produced statements rather than completed deals, and the two-week window before August 31 leaves insufficient time for the procedural steps required. Trader consensus at 97% for no new country reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen bilateral announcement with a smaller state could still shift the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
$53,711 交易量
$53,711 交易量
2026-08-31
是
3% 機率
$53,711 交易量
$53,711 交易量
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has stalled since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland's pledge, with no verified normalization agreements advancing toward signature by late August 2026. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition any steps on progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria has signaled reluctance amid ongoing border tensions and military operations. U.S. administration calls linking further accessions to an Iran framework have produced statements rather than completed deals, and the two-week window before August 31 leaves insufficient time for the procedural steps required. Trader consensus at 97% for no new country reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen bilateral announcement with a smaller state could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$53,711結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has stalled since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland's pledge, with no verified normalization agreements advancing toward signature by late August 2026. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition any steps on progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria has signaled reluctance amid ongoing border tensions and military operations. U.S. administration calls linking further accessions to an Iran framework have produced statements rather than completed deals, and the two-week window before August 31 leaves insufficient time for the procedural steps required. Trader consensus at 97% for no new country reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen bilateral announcement with a smaller state could still shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,711結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has stalled since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Somaliland's pledge, with no verified normalization agreements advancing toward signature by late August 2026. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition any steps on progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria has signaled reluctance amid ongoing border tensions and military operations. U.S. administration calls linking further accessions to an Iran framework have produced statements rather than completed deals, and the two-week window before August 31 leaves insufficient time for the procedural steps required. Trader consensus at 97% for no new country reflects these structural barriers, though an unforeseen bilateral announcement with a smaller state could still shift the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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