Iranian officials revived threats to exit the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, with lawmakers introducing fast-tracked legislation in late March proposing withdrawal under Article X, repeal of the JCPOA implementation law, and new partnerships for peaceful nuclear technology. Despite these steps and statements questioning the treaty's benefits, Tehran has issued no formal notification to the United Nations, continues IAEA safeguards at declared sites, and submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference. This pattern of rhetorical escalation without concrete action, combined with risks of deepened isolation and loss of legal standing for enrichment activities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that formal withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$121,662 交易量
$121,662 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$121,662 交易量
$121,662 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived threats to exit the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, with lawmakers introducing fast-tracked legislation in late March proposing withdrawal under Article X, repeal of the JCPOA implementation law, and new partnerships for peaceful nuclear technology. Despite these steps and statements questioning the treaty's benefits, Tehran has issued no formal notification to the United Nations, continues IAEA safeguards at declared sites, and submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference. This pattern of rhetorical escalation without concrete action, combined with risks of deepened isolation and loss of legal standing for enrichment activities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that formal withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$121,662結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived threats to exit the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, with lawmakers introducing fast-tracked legislation in late March proposing withdrawal under Article X, repeal of the JCPOA implementation law, and new partnerships for peaceful nuclear technology. Despite these steps and statements questioning the treaty's benefits, Tehran has issued no formal notification to the United Nations, continues IAEA safeguards at declared sites, and submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference. This pattern of rhetorical escalation without concrete action, combined with risks of deepened isolation and loss of legal standing for enrichment activities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that formal withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$121,662結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials revived threats to exit the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in early 2026, with lawmakers introducing fast-tracked legislation in late March proposing withdrawal under Article X, repeal of the JCPOA implementation law, and new partnerships for peaceful nuclear technology. Despite these steps and statements questioning the treaty's benefits, Tehran has issued no formal notification to the United Nations, continues IAEA safeguards at declared sites, and submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference. This pattern of rhetorical escalation without concrete action, combined with risks of deepened isolation and loss of legal standing for enrichment activities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing that formal withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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