Skip to main content
icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

$477,873 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$477,873 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$6,855 交易量

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has not granted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a pre-verdict pardon in his ongoing corruption trial on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust, despite Netanyahu’s November 2025 formal request and repeated public calls from U.S. President Donald Trump. Herzog has instead emphasized mediation toward a plea arrangement, required a Justice Ministry legal opinion delivered in March 2026, and signaled that any clemency would require broad political consensus to avoid deepening national divisions. The trial continues with judges recently urging prosecutors to drop the bribery count in Case 4000 while Netanyahu’s testimony concluded and cross-examination proceeds amid scheduling delays tied to security concerns. Coalition ministers have pushed for clemency citing national security priorities, but institutional reviews and Herzog’s procedural stance have kept the request stalled, shaping trader views on the low likelihood of resolution in the near term absent a sudden shift in negotiations or trial developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$477,873
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has not granted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a pre-verdict pardon in his ongoing corruption trial on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust, despite Netanyahu’s November 2025 formal request and repeated public calls from U.S. President Donald Trump. Herzog has instead emphasized mediation toward a plea arrangement, required a Justice Ministry legal opinion delivered in March 2026, and signaled that any clemency would require broad political consensus to avoid deepening national divisions. The trial continues with judges recently urging prosecutors to drop the bribery count in Case 4000 while Netanyahu’s testimony concluded and cross-examination proceeds amid scheduling delays tied to security concerns. Coalition ministers have pushed for clemency citing national security priorities, but institutional reviews and Herzog’s procedural stance have kept the request stalled, shaping trader views on the low likelihood of resolution in the near term absent a sudden shift in negotiations or trial developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$477,873
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 9%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" has generated $477.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" is "12月31日" at just 9%, with "6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.