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icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

icon for 內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?

$483,158 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$483,158 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$12,139 交易量

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has yet to act on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in the long-running corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward mediated plea talks between the attorney general and defense. The Justice Ministry pardons department previously declined to recommend clemency, citing the absence of a conviction, admission of guilt, or remorse. Coalition ministers have submitted supportive position papers emphasizing national unity, but institutional reviews continue to stress legal thresholds and equality principles. Judges in the Jerusalem District Court recently reiterated calls for prosecutors to consider dropping the bribery count while the defense phase proceeds following Netanyahu’s completed testimony. Upcoming factors include further cross-examination, summary arguments, and October elections that could shift political leverage over any eventual clemency decision. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and evidentiary barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$483,158
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has yet to act on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in the long-running corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward mediated plea talks between the attorney general and defense. The Justice Ministry pardons department previously declined to recommend clemency, citing the absence of a conviction, admission of guilt, or remorse. Coalition ministers have submitted supportive position papers emphasizing national unity, but institutional reviews continue to stress legal thresholds and equality principles. Judges in the Jerusalem District Court recently reiterated calls for prosecutors to consider dropping the bribery count while the defense phase proceeds following Netanyahu’s completed testimony. Upcoming factors include further cross-examination, summary arguments, and October elections that could shift political leverage over any eventual clemency decision. Trader consensus reflects these procedural and evidentiary barriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$483,158
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 22%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" has generated $483.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" is "12月31日" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡會被...赦免嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.