Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court, with no verdict after six years and hearings now five days a week, remains the central factor shaping the pardon market. President Isaac Herzog has kept the November 2025 clemency request unresolved, conditioning any action on mediation between the prime minister and Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara for a plea arrangement. Recent coalition-formation talks after the October 2026 election have revived speculation around conditional pardons tied to retirement from politics, though Herzog’s office has rejected specific rotation proposals. U.S. pressure from President Trump adds external influence, while structural requirements for an admission of guilt or conviction before clemency continue to limit immediate resolution.