The Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline, derived from remaining carbon budgets in reports such as those from the Global Carbon Project and IPCC SR1.5, reflects current global CO2 emissions trends and observed warming levels around 1.3–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines. With annual emissions holding near 40 gigatons and no abrupt worldwide reductions materializing in 2026, the projected exhaustion date—recently around mid-to-late 2029 on leading implementations—shows little impetus for revision before December 31. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no change aligns with the clock's typical annual or quarterly updates tied to verified data rather than short-term fluctuations. A major surprise emissions plunge, revised budget from new observational data, or unexpected model consensus shift could still alter the displayed deadline, though such developments remain low-probability in the near term given persistent trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於10% 機率
$13,931 交易量
$13,931 交易量
2026-12-31
10% 機率
$13,931 交易量
$13,931 交易量
2026-12-31
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.The Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline, derived from remaining carbon budgets in reports such as those from the Global Carbon Project and IPCC SR1.5, reflects current global CO2 emissions trends and observed warming levels around 1.3–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines. With annual emissions holding near 40 gigatons and no abrupt worldwide reductions materializing in 2026, the projected exhaustion date—recently around mid-to-late 2029 on leading implementations—shows little impetus for revision before December 31. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no change aligns with the clock's typical annual or quarterly updates tied to verified data rather than short-term fluctuations. A major surprise emissions plunge, revised budget from new observational data, or unexpected model consensus shift could still alter the displayed deadline, though such developments remain low-probability in the near term given persistent trends.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
交易量
$13,931結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETEach market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.The Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline, derived from remaining carbon budgets in reports such as those from the Global Carbon Project and IPCC SR1.5, reflects current global CO2 emissions trends and observed warming levels around 1.3–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines. With annual emissions holding near 40 gigatons and no abrupt worldwide reductions materializing in 2026, the projected exhaustion date—recently around mid-to-late 2029 on leading implementations—shows little impetus for revision before December 31. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no change aligns with the clock's typical annual or quarterly updates tied to verified data rather than short-term fluctuations. A major surprise emissions plunge, revised budget from new observational data, or unexpected model consensus shift could still alter the displayed deadline, though such developments remain low-probability in the near term given persistent trends.
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.
The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.
Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.
交易量
$13,931結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 6:40 PM ETThe Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline, derived from remaining carbon budgets in reports such as those from the Global Carbon Project and IPCC SR1.5, reflects current global CO2 emissions trends and observed warming levels around 1.3–1.4°C above pre-industrial baselines. With annual emissions holding near 40 gigatons and no abrupt worldwide reductions materializing in 2026, the projected exhaustion date—recently around mid-to-late 2029 on leading implementations—shows little impetus for revision before December 31. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no change aligns with the clock's typical annual or quarterly updates tied to verified data rather than short-term fluctuations. A major surprise emissions plunge, revised budget from new observational data, or unexpected model consensus shift could still alter the displayed deadline, though such developments remain low-probability in the near term given persistent trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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