Skip to main content

預測與賠率

·
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

74%

December 31

$25M 交易量

$2M today

$493K Liq.

1,557

Ends 4 個月前

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$5M 交易量

$240K today

$314K Liq.

111

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$1M 交易量

$143K today

$606K Liq.

1

Ends 16 天內

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M 交易量

$117K today

$186K Liq.

707

Ends 8 個月內

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M 交易量

$113K today

$52.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M 交易量

$110K today

$155K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M 交易量

$77.9K today

$474K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$220K 交易量

$61.7K today

$31.6K Liq.

38

Ends 8 個月內

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

53%

$58.1K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

4

Ends 16 天內

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M 交易量

$211K Liq.

34

Ends 8 個月內

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M 交易量

$208K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

2%

$657K 交易量

$24.5K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

4%

$233K 交易量

$29.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

21%

$18.5K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

28%

June 30

$359K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

59%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$84.3K Liq.

66

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$398K 交易量

$64.4K Liq.

106

Ends 8 個月內

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

65%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$81.0K Liq.

121

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

15%

$9.6K 交易量

$19.2K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

19%

$412K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

161

Ends 16 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 出.

Polymarket currently hosts 324 active markets for 出 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $180.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 出 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.