Close competition among AI chatbots, sports streaming platforms, and reality TV tie-ins is keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% for the June 26 free-app crown. Ongoing FIFA World Cup 2026 matches continue to drive downloads for dedicated viewing apps such as FOX One and Fubo, while Love Island USA’s record Peacock viewership and refreshed companion app sustain momentum for Peacock TV and the official Love Island title. Meanwhile, ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic trade places based on incremental feature releases and developer sentiment, with Threads offering a steady social alternative. No single catalyst has yet emerged to break the deadlock ahead of the one-day resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Threads 37%
Anthropic 的 Claude 34%
FOX One:直播新闻、体育、电视 31%
Peacock TV:观看电视和电影 22%

Threads
37%

Anthropic 的 Claude
21%

FOX One:直播新闻、体育、电视
31%

Peacock TV:观看电视和电影
22%

ChatGPT
21%

2026年FIFA世界杯
8%

Love Island USA
7%

Fubo:在线观看电视和体育
6%
Threads 37%
Anthropic 的 Claude 34%
FOX One:直播新闻、体育、电视 31%
Peacock TV:观看电视和电影 22%

Threads
37%

Anthropic 的 Claude
21%

FOX One:直播新闻、体育、电视
31%

Peacock TV:观看电视和电影
22%

ChatGPT
21%

2026年FIFA世界杯
8%

Love Island USA
7%

Fubo:在线观看电视和体育
6%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Close competition among AI chatbots, sports streaming platforms, and reality TV tie-ins is keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% for the June 26 free-app crown. Ongoing FIFA World Cup 2026 matches continue to drive downloads for dedicated viewing apps such as FOX One and Fubo, while Love Island USA’s record Peacock viewership and refreshed companion app sustain momentum for Peacock TV and the official Love Island title. Meanwhile, ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic trade places based on incremental feature releases and developer sentiment, with Threads offering a steady social alternative. No single catalyst has yet emerged to break the deadlock ahead of the one-day resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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