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icon for Anthropic IPO by __ ?

Anthropic IPO by __ ?

icon for Anthropic IPO by __ ?

Anthropic IPO by __ ?

$3,307,847 交易量

2027-06-30
Polymarket

$3,307,847 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$994,130 交易量

<1%

2026年10月15日

$114,397 交易量

2%

2026年10月31日

$890,455 交易量

54%

2026年11月15日

$36,070 交易量

70%

2026年11月30日

$43,913 交易量

77%

2026年12月15日

$31,381 交易量

83%

2026年12月31日

$764,338 交易量

86%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent push toward a Nasdaq listing in mid-to-late October have anchored trader focus on execution risk and market absorption capacity. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, with Q2 revenue at $11.5 billion and expectations for a second consecutive adjusted profitable quarter at gross margins above 80 percent. Its May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion, yet IPO pricing discussions now center on $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut. Underwriters including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citi are preparing a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of the prospectus, which is now slated for late September. Key near-term catalysts include the final filing timing, Federal Reserve policy signals, and November midterm volatility that could influence share demand for this scale of AI equity offering.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,307,847
结束日期
2027-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent push toward a Nasdaq listing in mid-to-late October have anchored trader focus on execution risk and market absorption capacity. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, with Q2 revenue at $11.5 billion and expectations for a second consecutive adjusted profitable quarter at gross margins above 80 percent. Its May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion, yet IPO pricing discussions now center on $2 trillion, exceeding SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut. Underwriters including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citi are preparing a $15 billion revolving credit facility ahead of the prospectus, which is now slated for late September. Key near-term catalysts include the final filing timing, Federal Reserve policy signals, and November midterm volatility that could influence share demand for this scale of AI equity offering.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,307,847
结束日期
2027-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

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常见问题

"Anthropic IPO by __ ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 86%,其次是"2026年12月15日",概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 86¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 86%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Anthropic IPO by __ ?"已产生 $3.3 million 的总交易量(自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Anthropic IPO by __ ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Anthropic IPO by __ ?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 86%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 86%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年12月15日",概率为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Anthropic IPO by __ ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。