Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于690b+ 46%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 交易量
$20,973 交易量
2026-05-31
<610b
12%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
7%
630-640b
8%
640-650b
3%
650-660b
8%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
16%
680-690b
19%
690b+
46%
690b+ 46%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 交易量
$20,973 交易量
2026-05-31
<610b
$2,591 交易量
12%
610-620b
$1,465 交易量
3%
620-630b
$1,596 交易量
7%
630-640b
$1,905 交易量
8%
640-650b
$2,188 交易量
3%
650-660b
$1,999 交易量
8%
660-670b
$1,979 交易量
8%
670-680b
$1,680 交易量
16%
680-690b
$1,803 交易量
19%
690b+
$3,768 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
交易量
$20,973结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
交易量
$20,973结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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