**Federal investigations into Eric Swalwell remain active but have not produced charges as of early September 2026.** Multiple probes—centered on sexual misconduct allegations that surfaced in April and prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race—include a federal civil rights inquiry under 18 U.S.C. § 242, plus parallel state-level reviews by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities. FBI agents executed search warrants in mid-August, seizing electronic devices at San Francisco International Airport and searching Swalwell’s Washington home, with additional air-marshal monitoring reported shortly afterward. These steps reflect ongoing evidence gathering rather than imminent prosecutorial action. Sex-crime and related civil-rights cases typically require extended review of digital records, witness statements, and inter-agency coordination before any charging decision. With fewer than four weeks remaining until the September 30 cutoff and no public indication of expedited filings or plea discussions, trader consensus heavily favors no charges by that date. Earlier mortgage-fraud referrals from 2025 have not advanced to charges either. Resolution would depend on prosecutors filing formal complaints or indictments within the narrow window, an outcome viewed as improbable absent sudden new developments.