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icon for FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

icon for FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

最新
2026-08-31
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

2026年8月31日

$0 交易量

49%

2026年12月31日

$0 交易量

55%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BPC-157, a synthetic gastric pentadecapeptide studied primarily in animal models for tissue repair, gut healing, and anti-inflammatory effects, remains unapproved by the FDA as a finished drug with only limited small-scale human data available.** It was placed in Category 2 in 2023 due to concerns over immunogenicity, peptide impurities, and insufficient safety information for compounding under Section 503A. Recent policy signals from HHS, including announcements by Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., indicate intent to shift several peptides including BPC-157 back toward Category 1 (“under evaluation”), enabling licensed compounding pharmacies to prepare it under prescription pending final review. The key near-term catalyst is the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee meeting scheduled for July 23–24, 2026, which will evaluate BPC-157 and related substances for the 503A bulks list. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether formal Category 1 placement occurs before or after that meeting, given the distinction between removal from Category 2 and affirmative listing, as well as ongoing questions about manufacturing standards and clinical evidence thresholds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BPC-157, a synthetic gastric pentadecapeptide studied primarily in animal models for tissue repair, gut healing, and anti-inflammatory effects, remains unapproved by the FDA as a finished drug with only limited small-scale human data available.** It was placed in Category 2 in 2023 due to concerns over immunogenicity, peptide impurities, and insufficient safety information for compounding under Section 503A. Recent policy signals from HHS, including announcements by Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., indicate intent to shift several peptides including BPC-157 back toward Category 1 (“under evaluation”), enabling licensed compounding pharmacies to prepare it under prescription pending final review. The key near-term catalyst is the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee meeting scheduled for July 23–24, 2026, which will evaluate BPC-157 and related substances for the 503A bulks list. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around whether formal Category 1 placement occurs before or after that meeting, given the distinction between removal from Category 2 and affirmative listing, as well as ongoing questions about manufacturing standards and clinical evidence thresholds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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常见问题

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 55%,其次是"2026年8月31日",概率为 49%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 55¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 55%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 55%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 55%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年8月31日",概率为 49%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。