Skip to main content
icon for FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

icon for FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?

最新
2026-08-31
Polymarket

$2,649 交易量

Polymarket

2026年8月31日

$943 交易量

13%

2026年12月31日

$1,706 交易量

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The FDA’s July 2026 Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee vote (8-6 with one abstention) to recommend BPC-157 for the Section 503A bulks list marked the clearest recent catalyst, overriding staff concerns over immunogenicity and impurities. BPC-157 had been removed from Category 2 in April 2026 after nomination withdrawals, shifting it into regulatory review without immediate compounding authorization. Actual placement on Category 1 requires formal notice-and-comment rulemaking, a process that historically spans eight to twelve months and remains subject to FDA leadership discretion. No final rule has issued as of mid-August 2026. Traders are therefore weighing the panel’s narrow endorsement against the uncertain timeline and possibility of further procedural delays or reversals before any firm Category 1 listing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,649
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The FDA’s July 2026 Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee vote (8-6 with one abstention) to recommend BPC-157 for the Section 503A bulks list marked the clearest recent catalyst, overriding staff concerns over immunogenicity and impurities. BPC-157 had been removed from Category 2 in April 2026 after nomination withdrawals, shifting it into regulatory review without immediate compounding authorization. Actual placement on Category 1 requires formal notice-and-comment rulemaking, a process that historically spans eight to twelve months and remains subject to FDA leadership discretion. No final rule has issued as of mid-August 2026. Traders are therefore weighing the panel’s narrow endorsement against the uncertain timeline and possibility of further procedural delays or reversals before any firm Category 1 listing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify.

Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date.

A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,649
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announces that it has reclassified or will reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be official and public. Any rumored or private statements of intention will not qualify. Any announcement that the drug has been reclassified to Category 1 will qualify. Any announcement within this market’s timeframe of future intention to reclassify to Category 1 will qualify regardless of whether the reclassification has happened by the listed date. A qualifying reclassification must be to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List or an equivalent classification that allows interim compounding of the drug. Removal from a different category will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 53%,其次是"2026年8月31日",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 53%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年8月31日",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"FDA通过……将BPC-157移至第1类?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。