Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$149,644 交易量
$149,644 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$149,644 交易量
$149,644 交易量
2026-05-31
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
交易量
$149,644结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$149,644结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces have repeatedly enforced the Gaza blockade by intercepting civilian aid vessels in international waters, as seen in the April 30 raid on the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete that disabled multiple boats and detained over 175 activists. A regrouped fleet of more than 50 vessels departed southern Turkey on May 14 to resume the mission, yet historical precedent shows such attempts consistently halted before reaching Israeli territorial waters. Traders assign 62.5% probability to the flotilla failing to enter those waters by the May 31 deadline, reflecting the blockade's sustained operational effectiveness amid ongoing diplomatic and military measures to maintain maritime control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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