Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate peak surface temperatures in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 31–33 °C under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing to 34–36 °C in the preceding days amid a regional heat anomaly, yet guidance suggests modest moderation from slightly increased boundary-layer moisture and diurnal cooling rates. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble spread, assigning the highest weight to 32 °C while discounting extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C given historical August variability and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and official 24-hour bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月24日安卡拉的最高温度？
32°C 54%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
54%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
32°C 54%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
28°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
7%
31°C
$34 交易量
25%
32°C
$67 交易量
54%
33°C
$18 交易量
18%
34°C
$12 交易量
5%
35°C
$5 交易量
5%
36°C
$5 交易量
2%
37°C
$5 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate peak surface temperatures in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 31–33 °C under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing to 34–36 °C in the preceding days amid a regional heat anomaly, yet guidance suggests modest moderation from slightly increased boundary-layer moisture and diurnal cooling rates. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble spread, assigning the highest weight to 32 °C while discounting extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C given historical August variability and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and official 24-hour bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate peak surface temperatures in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 31–33 °C under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing to 34–36 °C in the preceding days amid a regional heat anomaly, yet guidance suggests modest moderation from slightly increased boundary-layer moisture and diurnal cooling rates. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble spread, assigning the highest weight to 32 °C while discounting extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C given historical August variability and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and official 24-hour bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate peak surface temperatures in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 31–33 °C under persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Anatolian conditions. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing to 34–36 °C in the preceding days amid a regional heat anomaly, yet guidance suggests modest moderation from slightly increased boundary-layer moisture and diurnal cooling rates. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble spread, assigning the highest weight to 32 °C while discounting extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C given historical August variability and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and official 24-hour bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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