Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月22日安卡拉的最高温度？
35°C 60%
34°C 34%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
最新
$11,282 交易量
最新
$11,282 交易量
2026-08-22
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
34%
35°C
60%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
34°C 34%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
最新
$11,282 交易量
最新
$11,282 交易量
2026-08-22
30°C or below
$222 交易量
<1%
31°C
$295 交易量
<1%
32°C
$698 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,444 交易量
2%
34°C
$2,050 交易量
34%
35°C
$2,331 交易量
60%
36°C
$1,244 交易量
5%
37°C
$462 交易量
<1%
38°C
$526 交易量
<1%
39°C
$1,396 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,282结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,282结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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