Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
7月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
75°F或以下
$115 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$196 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$11 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
9%
82-83°F
$558 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$104 交易量
26%
86-87°F
$53 交易量
32%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
16%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
9%
92-93°F
$16 交易量
2%
94°F或更高
$578 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,631结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,631结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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