Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日芝加哥最高温度？
7月16日芝加哥最高温度？
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 27%
94-95华氏度 23%
96-97°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
89°F或以下
6%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
38%
94-95华氏度
23%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107华氏度
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 27%
94-95华氏度 23%
96-97°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
89°F或以下
$311 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$183 交易量
27%
92-93°F
$177 交易量
38%
94-95华氏度
$19 交易量
23%
96-97°F
$217 交易量
7%
98-99°F
$631 交易量
2%
100-101°F
$31 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$256 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$70 交易量
<1%
106-107华氏度
$70 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$118 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,051结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,051结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题