Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日巴拿马城气温最高？
7月16日巴拿马城气温最高？
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
32°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
16%
33°C
35%
34°C
37%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38℃或更高
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
32°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
28°C或以下
$273 交易量
1%
29°C
$23 交易量
1%
30°C
$29 交易量
5%
31°C
$9 交易量
8%
32°C
$145 交易量
16%
33°C
$42 交易量
35%
34°C
$13 交易量
37%
35°C
$554 交易量
9%
36°C
$210 交易量
1%
37°C
$28 交易量
1%
38℃或更高
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,271结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,271结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETCurrent short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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