Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日纽约市最低气温？
7月16日纽约市最低气温？
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
71°F或更低
15%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
71°F或更低
$20 交易量
15%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
19%
86-87°F
$225 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$172 交易量
1%
90°F或更高
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$596结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$596结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题