Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日重庆气温最高？
8月4日重庆气温最高？
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$62 交易量
5%
28°C
$36 交易量
5%
29°C
$36 交易量
5%
30°C
$44 交易量
24%
31°C
$76 交易量
34%
32°C
$38 交易量
23%
33°C
$40 交易量
6%
34°C
$40 交易量
6%
35°C
$46 交易量
1%
36°C
$20 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$453结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$453结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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