Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on July 17 as the most probable outcome, driven by stable high-pressure systems, moderate northerly winds, and typical mid-July atmospheric patterns that limit extreme heating. These align with Istanbul’s climatological July average high of 28–29°C while accounting for urban heat island effects and low precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread, with some runs suggesting brief warming to 30–31°C if winds shift, though current guidance favors the lower end. Updated ECMWF and local Turkish Meteorological Service runs over the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
7月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 53%
29°C 37%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
24°C or below
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
53%
29°C
26%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 53%
29°C 37%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
24°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
6%
26°C
$0 交易量
12%
27°C
$0 交易量
18%
28°C
$89 交易量
53%
29°C
$3 交易量
26%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
11%
32°C
$0 交易量
1%
33°C
$0 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on July 17 as the most probable outcome, driven by stable high-pressure systems, moderate northerly winds, and typical mid-July atmospheric patterns that limit extreme heating. These align with Istanbul’s climatological July average high of 28–29°C while accounting for urban heat island effects and low precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread, with some runs suggesting brief warming to 30–31°C if winds shift, though current guidance favors the lower end. Updated ECMWF and local Turkish Meteorological Service runs over the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-07-17市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on July 17 as the most probable outcome, driven by stable high-pressure systems, moderate northerly winds, and typical mid-July atmospheric patterns that limit extreme heating. These align with Istanbul’s climatological July average high of 28–29°C while accounting for urban heat island effects and low precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread, with some runs suggesting brief warming to 30–31°C if winds shift, though current guidance favors the lower end. Updated ECMWF and local Turkish Meteorological Service runs over the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-07-17市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C on July 17 as the most probable outcome, driven by stable high-pressure systems, moderate northerly winds, and typical mid-July atmospheric patterns that limit extreme heating. These align with Istanbul’s climatological July average high of 28–29°C while accounting for urban heat island effects and low precipitation chances. Model consensus shows limited spread, with some runs suggesting brief warming to 30–31°C if winds shift, though current guidance favors the lower end. Updated ECMWF and local Turkish Meteorological Service runs over the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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