Recent forecast models, including runs projecting daytime maxima near 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, position 38°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah on June 11. Mid-June climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport shows frequent peaks in the upper 30s, with historical June averages around 36–38°C moderated by Red Sea humidity. Stable high pressure and persistent sunny, dry conditions have reinforced this pattern over recent days, consistent with the 52% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher and the secondary weighting on 37°C. Official observations from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will resolve the market, with any model shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover representing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?
38°C or higher 52%
37°C 25%
36°C 19%
35°C 2.4%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
19%
37°C
25%
38°C or higher
52%
38°C or higher 52%
37°C 25%
36°C 19%
35°C 2.4%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
19%
37°C
25%
38°C or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models, including runs projecting daytime maxima near 39°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, position 38°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah on June 11. Mid-June climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport shows frequent peaks in the upper 30s, with historical June averages around 36–38°C moderated by Red Sea humidity. Stable high pressure and persistent sunny, dry conditions have reinforced this pattern over recent days, consistent with the 52% market-implied probability for 38°C or higher and the secondary weighting on 37°C. Official observations from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will resolve the market, with any model shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover representing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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