Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月11日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
19°C或以下
$170 交易量
<1%
20°C
$170 交易量
<1%
21°C
$203 交易量
1%
22°C
$180 交易量
1%
23°C
$78 交易量
4%
24°C
$399 交易量
26%
25°C
$1,289 交易量
48%
26°C
$159 交易量
20%
27°C
$212 交易量
3%
28°C
$196 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$252 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$3,307结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,307结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETTrader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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