Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project a daily high of 88°F for Miami on May 20, aligning with climatological normals near 87°F and recent model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions with light easterly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied odds of nearly 100% for the 88-89°F range, as traders weigh verified observational data against typical May variability. Minor shifts in cloud cover or localized heating could push readings toward 90°F, though historical records indicate such outliers remain unlikely without a pronounced warm-air advection event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on May 20?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$32,898 交易量
$32,898 交易量
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$32,898 交易量
$32,898 交易量
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project a daily high of 88°F for Miami on May 20, aligning with climatological normals near 87°F and recent model runs showing stable atmospheric conditions with light easterly winds. This consensus drives the market-implied odds of nearly 100% for the 88-89°F range, as traders weigh verified observational data against typical May variability. Minor shifts in cloud cover or localized heating could push readings toward 90°F, though historical records indicate such outliers remain unlikely without a pronounced warm-air advection event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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