Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
23°C or below
$2,094 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,833 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,646 交易量
<1%
26°C
$586 交易量
3%
27°C
$251 交易量
16%
28°C
$473 交易量
33%
29°C
$429 交易量
34%
30°C
$407 交易量
14%
31°C
$247 交易量
5%
32°C
$191 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$91 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
交易量
$8,240结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,240结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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