Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature near 23 °C in London on May 21 under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced stronger southerly flow. This pattern favors greater cloud cover, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime maxima close to late-May climatological averages while reducing upside potential from brief clear spells. UK and European models cluster tightly around 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bands ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Following the 26.6 °C reading recorded at Kew Gardens on May 19, traders are emphasizing short-range forecast stability over typical spring variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月21日伦敦气温最高?
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,483 交易量
$31,483 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,483 交易量
$31,483 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature near 23 °C in London on May 21 under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced stronger southerly flow. This pattern favors greater cloud cover, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime maxima close to late-May climatological averages while reducing upside potential from brief clear spells. UK and European models cluster tightly around 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bands ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Following the 26.6 °C reading recorded at Kew Gardens on May 19, traders are emphasizing short-range forecast stability over typical spring variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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