Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 52%
16°C 44%
18°C 4.1%
19°C <1%
最新
$45,785 交易量
最新
$45,785 交易量
2026-05-21
16°C
44%
17°C
52%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
16°C 44%
18°C 4.1%
19°C <1%
最新
$45,785 交易量
最新
$45,785 交易量
2026-05-21
16°C
$2,178 交易量
44%
17°C
$1,994 交易量
52%
18°C
$1,856 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,807 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$827 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$45,785结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,785结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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