Latest meteorological guidance from regional models places Wellington’s expected maximum temperature for May 22 in the 15–17 °C range, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 16 °C and 17 °C. Mid-autumn southerly flow and persistent cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms where May highs average 14–16 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent stable high-pressure setups have kept overnight lows elevated, limiting the diurnal range and supporting modest afternoon peaks near 16 °C. Updated model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing could alter the final reading by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting these near-term conditions heavily ahead of official MetService verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
16°C 45%
17°C 30%
15°C 17%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
17%
16°C
45%
17°C
30%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 45%
17°C 30%
15°C 17%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
9°C or below
$227 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,185 交易量
<1%
11°C
$344 交易量
<1%
12°C
$260 交易量
1%
13°C
$168 交易量
1%
14°C
$389 交易量
7%
15°C
$542 交易量
17%
16°C
$471 交易量
45%
17°C
$480 交易量
30%
18°C
$205 交易量
5%
19°C or higher
$212 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models places Wellington’s expected maximum temperature for May 22 in the 15–17 °C range, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 16 °C and 17 °C. Mid-autumn southerly flow and persistent cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms where May highs average 14–16 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent stable high-pressure setups have kept overnight lows elevated, limiting the diurnal range and supporting modest afternoon peaks near 16 °C. Updated model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing could alter the final reading by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting these near-term conditions heavily ahead of official MetService verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$5,408结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological guidance from regional models places Wellington’s expected maximum temperature for May 22 in the 15–17 °C range, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 16 °C and 17 °C. Mid-autumn southerly flow and persistent cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms where May highs average 14–16 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent stable high-pressure setups have kept overnight lows elevated, limiting the diurnal range and supporting modest afternoon peaks near 16 °C. Updated model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing could alter the final reading by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting these near-term conditions heavily ahead of official MetService verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,408结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest meteorological guidance from regional models places Wellington’s expected maximum temperature for May 22 in the 15–17 °C range, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 16 °C and 17 °C. Mid-autumn southerly flow and persistent cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms where May highs average 14–16 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent stable high-pressure setups have kept overnight lows elevated, limiting the diurnal range and supporting modest afternoon peaks near 16 °C. Updated model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in wind direction or cloud timing could alter the final reading by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting these near-term conditions heavily ahead of official MetService verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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